{"id":6881,"date":"2025-12-25T12:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-25T18:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.podermexico.mx\/?p=6881"},"modified":"2025-12-24T13:08:18","modified_gmt":"2025-12-24T19:08:18","slug":"analistas-de-banxico-y-la-fed-preven-que-los-bancos-centrales-de-mexico-y-ee-uu-suspendan-la-flexibilizacion-monetaria-a-inicios-de-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.podermexico.mx\/?p=6881","title":{"rendered":"Analistas de Banxico y la Fed prev\u00e9n que los bancos centrales de M\u00e9xico y EE. UU. suspendan la flexibilizaci\u00f3n monetaria a inicios de 2026."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tras un periodo de ajustes a la baja, la <strong>Reserva Federal de Estados Unidos (Fed)<\/strong> y el<a href=\"https:\/\/www.podermexico.mx\/?s=banxico\" title=\" Banco de M\u00e9xico (Banxico)\"> <strong>Banco de M\u00e9xico (Banxico)<\/strong><\/a> se perfilan para detener la flexibilizaci\u00f3n de sus pol\u00edticas monetarias. De acuerdo con proyecciones econ\u00f3micas, ambas instituciones entrar\u00e1n en una fase de estabilidad en sus tasas de inter\u00e9s, motivadas por nuevos riesgos en el entorno global y la persistencia de presiones sobre los precios.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La decisi\u00f3n de hacer una pausa responde a la necesidad de asegurar que la inflaci\u00f3n converja hacia la meta establecida. Entre los elementos determinantes destacan:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La propuesta de implementar aranceles del <strong>25%<\/strong> a las importaciones mexicanas representa un riesgo de choque inflacionario que los bancos centrales deben mitigar.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Banxico recientemente situ\u00f3 su tasa de referencia en <strong>10.00%<\/strong> tras un recorte de <strong>25 puntos base<\/strong>. El consenso sugiere que este nivel podr\u00eda mantenerse para preservar el diferencial con Estados Unidos.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La inflaci\u00f3n en el sector servicios no ha mostrado el descenso necesario para alcanzar el objetivo del <strong>3.0%<\/strong>, lo que obliga a mantener una postura restrictiva.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La permanencia de tasas de inter\u00e9s elevadas tiene repercusiones directas en las expectativas de expansi\u00f3n. El an\u00e1lisis estima que el crecimiento del Producto Interno Bruto (PIB) para M\u00e9xico se ubicar\u00e1 en un rango de entre <strong>1.2% y 1.5%<\/strong>. Este escenario refleja que la prioridad de los reguladores monetarios ser\u00e1 la estabilidad de precios y el control del tipo de cambio por encima del est\u00edmulo inmediato a la actividad econ\u00f3mica.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tras un periodo de ajustes a la baja, la Reserva Federal de Estados Unidos (Fed) y el Banco de M\u00e9xico (Banxico) se perfilan para detener la flexibilizaci\u00f3n de sus pol\u00edticas monetarias. De acuerdo con proyecciones econ\u00f3micas, ambas instituciones entrar\u00e1n en una fase de estabilidad en sus tasas de inter\u00e9s, motivadas por nuevos riesgos en el entorno global y la persistencia &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":6882,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[66],"tags":[735,85,1668,104],"class_list":["post-6881","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nacional","tag-banxico","tag-estados-unidos","tag-fed","tag-mexico"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Tras un periodo de ajustes a la baja, la Fed y el Banco de M\u00e9xico se perfilan para detener la flexibilizaci\u00f3n de sus pol\u00edticas monetarias.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Ana Paula S\u00e1nchez\"\/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.podermexico.mx\/?p=6881\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO (AIOSEO) 5.0.0.1\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_MX\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Poder M\u00e9xico - Donde los l\u00edderes definen el futuro, exploramos tendencias y desciframos el mundo de la pol\u00edtica y los negocios\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Analistas de Banxico y la Fed prev\u00e9n que los bancos centrales de M\u00e9xico y EE. 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